The Art of Thinking Clearly
Rolf Dobelli
20130514
About This Book
We are all guilty of cognitive biases, simple errors we make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices. The Art of Thinking Clearly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don’t need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic activity—all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this book will change the way you think and transform your decision making. From why you should not accept movie you don’t like, from why it’s so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn’t watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.
Contents
04. Social Proof
06. Reciprocity
07. Confirmation Bias (Part 1)
08. Confirmation Bias (Part 2)
09. Authority Bias
10. Contrast Effect
12. The It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better Fallacy
13. Story Bias
14. Hindsight Bias
18. Incentive Super-Response Tendency
20. Outcome Bias
22. Liking Bias
23. Endowment Effect
24. Coincidence
25. Groupthink
27. Scarcity Error
30. The Anchor
31. Induction
32. Loss Aversion
33. Social Loafing
35. Winner’s Curse
36. Fundamental Attribution Error
37. False Causality
38. Halo Effect
42. Framing
43. Action Bias
44. Omission Bias
48. Association Bias
49. Beginner’s Luck
53. Decision Fatigue
54. Contagion Bias
57. Twaddle Tendency
59. Information Bias
62. Expectations
63. Simple Logic
64. Forer Effect
66. Affect Heuristic
69. Neomania
70. Sleeper Effect
73. Primacy and Recency Effects
74. Not-Invented-Here Syndrome
75. The Black Swan
81. Default Effect
82. Fear of Regret
83. Salience Effect
85. Procrastination
86. Envy
87. Personification
89. Strategic Misrepresentation
90. Overthinking
91. Planning Fallacy
92. Déformation Professionnelle
93. Zeigarnik Effect
96. Cherry Picking
97. Fallacy of the Single Cause
99. News Illusion